Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 1.293689 1.466407 1.655287 1.877444 2.131935 2.414761 2.753459
2025-11-16 1.021218 1.244398 1.507968 1.843242 2.259878 2.762515 3.417777
2025-11-23 0.830985 1.074895 1.381915 1.798979 2.354217 3.072774 4.080908
2025-11-30 0.739443 1.007740 1.364903 1.879164 2.607271 3.611089 5.116869
2025-12-07 0.657568 0.937702 1.329269 1.922645 2.809811 4.103937 6.165700
2025-12-14 0.577525 0.856758 1.264090 1.909807 2.923040 4.477494 7.092076
2025-12-21 0.499878 0.767700 1.173325 1.842482 2.938637 4.697952 7.805522
2025-12-28 0.467321 0.742246 1.174125 1.914955 3.181020 5.305961 9.247153
2026-01-04 0.439346 0.719878 1.175773 1.986818 3.429078 5.954069 10.859635
2026-01-11 0.408645 0.688906 1.158741 2.023122 3.617838 6.521565 12.413521
2026-01-18 0.380817 0.659280 1.139886 2.052439 3.795581 7.090146 14.058523
2026-01-25 0.343015 0.607894 1.076948 1.992833 3.797311 7.323412 15.065191
2026-02-01 0.302906 0.548978 0.995599 1.891513 3.710272 7.381266 15.740450
2026-02-08 0.278655 0.516807 0.960176 1.874736 3.789999 7.788673 17.249104
2026-02-15 0.254784 0.482846 0.917676 1.838508 3.824460 8.105956 18.612317
2026-02-22 0.247236 0.479636 0.934361 1.925330 4.132488 9.061845 21.656540
2026-03-01 0.235984 0.467823 0.932471 1.972438 4.359477 9.870113 24.496999
2026-03-08 0.220022 0.444768 0.905066 1.960497 4.450214 10.374367 26.658647
2026-03-15 0.200534 0.412470 0.855001 1.891868 4.398605 10.528018 27.918620
2026-03-22 0.195076 0.409399 0.867066 1.966759 4.702827 11.610414 31.954787
2026-03-29 0.189785 0.406126 0.878265 2.040887 5.015798 12.765678 36.447025
2026-04-05 0.182034 0.396624 0.874483 2.078343 5.240496 13.723929 40.561945
2026-04-12 0.174326 0.386461 0.868119 2.108568 5.450533 14.676363 44.869398